Article

Assessing the accuracy of kernel-fitting and projections of spatial risk at key early timepoints in outbreaks

2026-04-21

Abstract excerpt

<title>Abstract</title> <p>Rapid decision-making during exotic animal disease outbreaks necessitates the early characterisation of transmission dynamics; however, in practice, a strategic balance between accuracy and speed is required. This study presents a simplified and practical approach for field response, leveraging initial kernel estimates from spatial data to predict outbreak risks without the need for hig...

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Literature Corpus work: 0c8e7b01-d30e-5c64-b8b5-4feb1d5d272a
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-9307461/v1

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