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Human Population Collapse Ahead: A Comparison of Demographic and System Dynamics Approaches

2026-04-14

Abstract excerpt

The modeling of human population trends has followed two distinct methodological traditions. Standard demographic models, exemplified by United Nations projections, employ extrapolation techniques based on historical fertility and mortality trends. These models typically yield smooth transitions to stable or slowly declining populations. System dynamics models, initiated by Forrester’s _World Dynamics_[1] and _The...

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Literature Corpus work
088cf891-1a85-5b1e-8204-ab24ee2ad9d8
DOI
10.32388/u2sny9
Open publication

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Human Population Collapse Ahead: A Comparison of Demographic and System Dynamics ApproachesDOI 10.32388/u2sny9
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