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Forecasting and Intervention Time Series Analysis Using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Models: Evaluating the impact of 2018 and 2021 Rift Valley Fever Outbreaks on Kenyan food Price Index

2024-11-25

Abstract excerpt

The Rift Valley fever (RVF) disease, a climate-sensitive zoonosis, causes 100% abortions and death in infected animals. This shock has an immediate impact on food prices, particularly for animal-sourced foods. This study used an Interrupted Time Series (ITS) approach and an Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model to assess the effects of economic disruptions, specifically the RVF outbreak on Kenya's...

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Literature Corpus work
04c01a57-9ae3-58b8-b9ae-a131af4ff322
DOI
10.20944/preprints202411.1845.v1
Open publication

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Forecasting and Intervention Time Series Analysis Using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Models: Evaluating the impact of 2018 and 2021 Rift Valley Fever Outbreaks on Kenyan food Price IndexDOI 10.20944/preprints202411.1845.v1
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