Importance sampling allows Hd true tests of highly discriminating DNA profiles.

Abstract excerpt

Hd true testing is a way of assessing the performance of a model, or DNA profile interpretation system. These tests involve simulating DNA profiles of non-donors to a DNA mixture and calculating a likelihood ratio (LR) with one proposition postulating their contribution and the alternative postulating their non-contribution. Following Turing it is possible to predict that "The average LR for the Hd true tests...

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