Article
Global mapping of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 and H5Nx clade 2.3.4.4 viruses with spatial cross-validation.
eLife - 25 Nov 2016
Dhingra Madhur S, Artois Jean, Robinson Timothy P, Linard Catherine, Chaiban Celia, Xenarios Ioannis, Engler Robin, Liechti Robin, Kuznetsov Dmitri, Xiao Xiangming, Dobschuetz Sophie Von, Claes Filip, Newman Scott H, Dauphin Gwenaëlle, Gilbert Marius
Abstract excerpt
Global disease suitability models are essential tools to inform surveillance systems and enable early detection. We present the first global suitability model of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 and demonstrate that reliable predictions can be obtained at global scale. Best predictions are obtained using spatial predictor variables describing host distributions, rather than land use or eco-climatic...
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