Article
Fine-scale identification of the most likely source of a human plague infection.
Emerging infectious diseases - 1 Oct 2009
Colman Rebecca E, Vogler Amy J, Lowell Jennifer L, Gage Kenneth L, Morway Christina, Reynolds Pamela J, Ettestad Paul, Keim Paul, Kosoy Michael Y, Wagner David M
Abstract excerpt
We describe an analytic approach to provide fine-scale discrimination among multiple infection source hypotheses. This approach uses mutation-rate data for rapidly evolving multiple locus variable-number tandem repeat loci in probabilistic models to identify the most likely source. We illustrate the utility of this approach using data from a North American human plague investigation.
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