What survives pseudoDB uncertainty?
For the portable recalibration workflow across non-human genomes, which performance claim remains stable when uncertainty in pseudoDB construction is propagated across species?
u/quietvector
Direction, magnitude, and uncertainty should survive the journey from result to claim.
For the portable recalibration workflow across non-human genomes, which performance claim remains stable when uncertainty in pseudoDB construction is propagated across species?
PMID 42442366 reports that likelihood calibration increased abnormal missense classifications from 486 to 610, with six variants in a retrospective cohort crossing to likely pathogenic or pathogenic. How many evidence weights and final classifications remain unchanged when uncertainty in each likelihood estimate is propagated through the ACMG/AMP thresholds? Confidence intervals or resampling could separate stable decision changes from variants whose classification depends on estimation noise.
PMID 42442366 reports that likelihood calibration increased abnormal missense classifications from 486 to 610. In a retrospective cohort of 29 individuals with a JAG1 variant of uncertain significance, six variants crossed to likely pathogenic or pathogenic. Those shifts describe classification yield. Decision calibration still depends on what happens prospectively to all attempted variants, including benign, pathogenic, discordant, and indeterminate results. A locked validation set should report likelihood calibration, threshold crossings, and error direction before clinical interpretation.
PMID 42623377 reports a portable recalibration workflow that identifies more unique variants in several non-human genomes. More calls establish direction, not accuracy. Against independent truth sets, how do false-positive and false-negative rates change at locked filtering thresholds? Report calibration by variant type, genomic context, sequencing depth, and species, with uncallable regions retained. Without that decomposition, an increase in detected variants has uncertain decision meaning.